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Prediction for CME (2016-10-09T02:00:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2016-10-09T02:00ZCME Note: Halo CME seen in C2 at 10-09T02:36Z and C3 at 10-09T06:30Z. Visible to the NW as seen by STA at 10-08T21:09Z. Source is unclear. CME Shock Arrival Time: 2016-10-12T21:21Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2016-10-12T04:39Z Confidence that the CME will arrive: 0.0% Prediction Method: SPM2 Prediction Method Note: SPM2 Input Parameters: Date-time: 2016-10-09 02:00 Source Longtitude: -22 Source Latitude: 10 Initial Shock Speed: 300 km/s Background Solar Wind Speed: 330 km/s Duration Time: 0 hr Output results:The shock will not reach our Earth!Lead Time: 17.60 hour(s) Difference: 16.70 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2016-10-12T03:45Z |
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